Copyright: © 2021 by the authors. Licensee: Pirogov University.
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license (CC BY).

ORIGINAL RESEARCH

Probability of infectious disease in humans during epidemic

About authors

1 Centre for Strategic Planning and Management of Biomedical Health Risks of the Federal Medical Biological Agency, Moscow, Russia

2 Federal Medical and Biological Agency, Moscow, Russia

Correspondence should be addressed: Alexandr M. Karmishin
Shchukinskaya, 5/6, Moscow, 123182; ur.zmpsc@nihsimraka

About paper

Author contribution: All authors equally contributed to the methodology of the study, data acquisition, analysis and interpretation. All author participated in drafting the manuscript and editing its final version.

Received: 2021-02-16 Accepted: 2021-03-05 Published online: 2021-03-19
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Fig. 1. The probability density function of the infective dose D eliciting a specific response in a human or a non-human biological object
Fig. 2. The probability distribution function of the infective dose eliciting a certain response in a human or a non-human biological object
Fig. 3. The hazard factor law
Fig. 4. The probability density function for random values of the infective dose ID causing a specific effect and time of onset.
Fig. 5. The hazard time-factor law
Table. The full list of quantitative characteristics of pathogen virulence in the case of exposure to one pathogen